Times series forecasting

The fuzzy time series model has become a research topic attracting attention because of its practical value in the field of time series forecasting, specifically, it is useful for time series with small observations or the one of strong fluctuations. This paper introduces a fuzzy time series model based on hedge algebra with a new formula for calculating forecasting values.

9p viengfa 28-10-2024 2 1   Download

Time series analysis is an essential field in data analysis, particularly within forecasting and prediction domains. Researching and building time series models play a crucial role in understanding and predicting the temporal dynamics of various phenomena. In mathematics, time series data is defined as data points indexed in chronological order and have a consistent time interval between consecutive observations.

10p vibenya 31-12-2024 5 2   Download

Modern civilization is heavily dependent on energy, which burdens the energy sector. Therefore, a highly accurate energy consumption forecast is essential to provide valuable information for efficient energy distribution and storage. This study proposed a hybrid deep learning model, called I-CNN-JS, by incorporating a jellyfish search (JS) algorithm into an ImageNetwinning convolutional neural network (I-CNN) to predict weekahead energy consumption.

6p vibenya 31-12-2024 7 2   Download

The research subject is the process of economic and mathematical modelling of time series characterizing the bitcoin exchange rate volatility, based on the use of artificial neural networks. The purpose of the work is to search and scientifically substantiate the tools and mechanisms for developing prognostic estimates of the crypto currency market development. The paper considers the task of financial time series trend forecasting using the LSTM neural network for supply chain strategies.

5p longtimenosee09 08-04-2024 15 2   Download

In line with that research trend, this paper proposes a hybrid algorithm combining particle swarm optimization with the simulated annealing technique (PSO-SA) to optimize the length of intervals to improve forecasting accuracies.

19p vimurdoch 18-09-2023 13 4   Download

This dissertation is composed of two parts, an integrative essay and a set of published papers. The essay and the collection of papers are placed in the context of development and application of time series econometric models in a temporal-axis from 1970s through 2005, with particular focus in the Marketing discipline. The main aim of the integrative essay is on modelling the effects of marketing actions on performance variables, such as sales and market share in competitive markets.

7p runthenight04 02-02-2023 11 1   Download

Thesis with the aim of focusing on two main issues. The first is time series modeling by states in which each state is a deterministic probability distribution (normal distribution). Based on the experimental results to assess the suitability of the model. Second, combine Markov chains and fuzzy time series into new models to improve forecast accuracy. Expand the model with high-level Markov chains to be compatible with seasonal data.

27p xacxuoc4321 11-07-2019 38 2   Download

Chapter 16 - Times series forecasting and index numbers. This chapter includes contents: Time series components and models, time series regression, multiplicative decomposition, simple exponential smoothing, Holt-Winter’s Models, the Box Jenkins methodology (optional advanced section), forecast error comparisons, index numbers.

14p whocare_b 05-09-2016 42 2   Download